The acknowledged acceleration in global warming has profound implications, not just for climate policy, but for adaptation, resilience, food security, migration, finance and insurance, net-zero...
This possible future is why I think we need more of a focus on the possibilities of not only keeping zones habitable but also expanding them. The focus on carbon removal and the costs of transition vs the cost of in many cases of rudimentary measures to enhance habitability to ease pressures and stop vast migration. The difference between each state is the proper management of water, spreader levees in all flat semi arid areas, Slow release dams across all our grazing lands so riparian trees can enhance dew twice a day and create more favorable rain bearing conditions. Beavers used to do this in the US and look at how the land in the mid west has changed with their removal. Do biofuels really add up? the removal of rainforest and cloud bearing cooling systems along with wide spread ecological destruction for a minor carbon reduction? Yes we need to decarbonize but science is now starting to point the finger at water management not only on land but also atmospheric water and its many interactions as being an equal driver of global warming. What would Africa look like if we kept more of the central areas of Angola and Zambia hydrated in the dry by sandbagging and slow releasing the flooded lake regions? It costs so little to lift water one meter and 12kms of forest is enough to change environmental conditions what about salt marshes and mangrove forests in the desert, so much flat land and solar opportunity? Parts of Saudi Arabia greened up in the small ice age a few hundred years ago what about now? The Aural sea shows what happens when we get it wrong what about if we get it right? Thanks for the article as the truth is what hurts us the most.
No need to apologise for pointing out the blast furnace of calamity humanity is speeding towards. Looking around the world at leaders and political parties and most ordinary folk trying to live their lives I must say I am not hopeful of any change in human behaviour on a scale sufficiently large to avert this calamity or make a difference to the intensity of the effects now under way. I hope I am wrong and will continue to do the small things individuals can do like giving up the car, recycle and buy wisely. The thing that does give me comfort is the knowledge that whatever humans do to the planet it will eventually recover and most likely return to a pristine beauty for some other souls to see maybe human maybe not maybe something better. It is just such a tragedy that this generation has collectively lost the will to grant to the future generations a chance to live their lives in the midst of a nature which can be so beautiful and forgiving and so full of opportunity. We will be harshly judged and rightly so.
Thank You Tom. It is difficult to keep changing the goal posts with the pace of acceleration, and hard as that is, this is the most up to date analysis I have read. It will of course change again by the end of the year, as that is the definition of acceleration. The causes being in constant transition, makes this a constant requirement.
The capacity to find a solution is in the Buckminister Fuller wisdom of industrial design - “You cannot change something by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.”
We have designed an expansion of monetary policy, that creates an avenue for Nature as an asset, so all would want it in their portfolios, above and before other commodities. For obvious reasons. It also creates an opportunity to decrease FIAT national GDP by participating in a new Nature currency. It still needs work, but it is gaining some small attention in Canada.
We can make the difficult changes, but we must have the will and wisdom to analyze population decrease with National financial policies, and implement measured solutions.
Thank you for your analyses, I find it extremely helpful to read your balanced reports. 🦋🙏
Great essay on a looming upheaval that is in quickening progress. I think about this topic everyday. Geo-engineering seems the best course available to us but we better be extremely cautious in implementing it. Changing atmospheric chemistry is no small matter. Civilization will likely continue so long as we can feed everybody but past +4.0c that becomes increasingly unlikely. Hotter than expected sooner than expected. Less migration than expected, more fatalities than expected. Mankind moving underground?
It's a fair point that I do consider. AI art generation is a lot less energy intensive than large language models, that's not to say it's right though. I use it sparingly to make an impact that I don't have the skills to do myself or the budget to pay someone else to do.
This possible future is why I think we need more of a focus on the possibilities of not only keeping zones habitable but also expanding them. The focus on carbon removal and the costs of transition vs the cost of in many cases of rudimentary measures to enhance habitability to ease pressures and stop vast migration. The difference between each state is the proper management of water, spreader levees in all flat semi arid areas, Slow release dams across all our grazing lands so riparian trees can enhance dew twice a day and create more favorable rain bearing conditions. Beavers used to do this in the US and look at how the land in the mid west has changed with their removal. Do biofuels really add up? the removal of rainforest and cloud bearing cooling systems along with wide spread ecological destruction for a minor carbon reduction? Yes we need to decarbonize but science is now starting to point the finger at water management not only on land but also atmospheric water and its many interactions as being an equal driver of global warming. What would Africa look like if we kept more of the central areas of Angola and Zambia hydrated in the dry by sandbagging and slow releasing the flooded lake regions? It costs so little to lift water one meter and 12kms of forest is enough to change environmental conditions what about salt marshes and mangrove forests in the desert, so much flat land and solar opportunity? Parts of Saudi Arabia greened up in the small ice age a few hundred years ago what about now? The Aural sea shows what happens when we get it wrong what about if we get it right? Thanks for the article as the truth is what hurts us the most.
Thanks Theodore, I agree with you completely.
No need to apologise for pointing out the blast furnace of calamity humanity is speeding towards. Looking around the world at leaders and political parties and most ordinary folk trying to live their lives I must say I am not hopeful of any change in human behaviour on a scale sufficiently large to avert this calamity or make a difference to the intensity of the effects now under way. I hope I am wrong and will continue to do the small things individuals can do like giving up the car, recycle and buy wisely. The thing that does give me comfort is the knowledge that whatever humans do to the planet it will eventually recover and most likely return to a pristine beauty for some other souls to see maybe human maybe not maybe something better. It is just such a tragedy that this generation has collectively lost the will to grant to the future generations a chance to live their lives in the midst of a nature which can be so beautiful and forgiving and so full of opportunity. We will be harshly judged and rightly so.
Thank you, I agree completely. In fact next week's article will take a look into the distant future.
Thank You Tom. It is difficult to keep changing the goal posts with the pace of acceleration, and hard as that is, this is the most up to date analysis I have read. It will of course change again by the end of the year, as that is the definition of acceleration. The causes being in constant transition, makes this a constant requirement.
The capacity to find a solution is in the Buckminister Fuller wisdom of industrial design - “You cannot change something by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.”
We have designed an expansion of monetary policy, that creates an avenue for Nature as an asset, so all would want it in their portfolios, above and before other commodities. For obvious reasons. It also creates an opportunity to decrease FIAT national GDP by participating in a new Nature currency. It still needs work, but it is gaining some small attention in Canada.
We can make the difficult changes, but we must have the will and wisdom to analyze population decrease with National financial policies, and implement measured solutions.
Thank you for your analyses, I find it extremely helpful to read your balanced reports. 🦋🙏
Ian Brodie-Brown
CEO - THE NANAVERSE PROJECT
Thank you, that means a lot.
I’ll look into your work.
Great essay on a looming upheaval that is in quickening progress. I think about this topic everyday. Geo-engineering seems the best course available to us but we better be extremely cautious in implementing it. Changing atmospheric chemistry is no small matter. Civilization will likely continue so long as we can feed everybody but past +4.0c that becomes increasingly unlikely. Hotter than expected sooner than expected. Less migration than expected, more fatalities than expected. Mankind moving underground?
So you're talking about the warming planet... but you're using an ai generated image?
It's a fair point that I do consider. AI art generation is a lot less energy intensive than large language models, that's not to say it's right though. I use it sparingly to make an impact that I don't have the skills to do myself or the budget to pay someone else to do.